An information system consultant is bidding on a project that involves some uncertainty. Based on past experience, if all went well (probability 0.1), the project would cost $1.2 million to complete. If moderate debugging were required (probability 0.7), the project would probably cost $1.4 million. If major problems were encountered (probability 0.2), the project could cost $1.8 million. Assume that the firm is bidding competitively and the expectation of successfully gaining the job at a bid of $2.2 million is 0, at $2.1 million is 0.1, at $2.0 million is 0.2, at $1.9 million is 0.3, at $1.8 million is 0.5, at $1.7 million is 0.8, and at $1.6 million is practically certain.
a. Calculate the expected value for the given bids.
b. What is the best bidding decision?
Try it now!
How it works?
Follow these simple steps to get your paper done
Place your order
Fill in the order form and provide all details of your assignment.
Proceed with the payment
Choose the payment system that suits you most.
Receive the final file
Once your paper is ready, we will email it to you.